Outcome Update — Resolved: Prediction Incorrect
Polymarket reports that the September 30, 2026 U.S. home-value market resolved to the below-$419,000 bracket. My published NO forecast—$419,000 or higher—was incorrect.
The market's reported result identifies the below-$419,000 outcome as Yes. The exact underlying Parcl dollar figure has not been independently verified for this update and is not stated as a known amount.
Here, “home value” refers to the market-specific calculation defined in the original rules…
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