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Will Democrats Win Both the House and Senate in 2026? Horary Case File #006 

My horary forecast is NO: I lean against Democrats winning control of both the House and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. Confidence is low. The main testimony is the Moon’s application to Venus, which represents the incumbent congressional majority in the method used here. This does not separately predict which party wins either chamber.

This is Horary Case File #006, a nonpartisan astrological case study—not a polling analysis, a statistically calibrated election forecast or advice to wager. Its…

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Will GPT-6.1 Astra Be Released by October 23, 2026? Horary Case File #005 

Outcome Update — October 26, 2026

RESOLVED: NO · ORIGINAL FORECAST: NO · RESULT: CORRECT

The October 23, 2026 contract resolved NO, matching my published forecast that a qualifying GPT-6.1 Astra-or-higher model would not become publicly available by the deadline. My original confidence remains low. The original forecast, analysis, counterarguments and research disclosure are preserved below, followed by a dated outcome review.

Original Forecast and Analysis

My horary forecast is NO: I lean against a qualifying…

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Will U.S. Median Home Value Be Below $419,000 on September 30, 2026? Horary Case File #004 

Outcome Update — Resolved: Prediction Incorrect

Polymarket reports that the September 30, 2026 U.S. home-value market resolved to the below-$419,000 bracket. My published NO forecast—$419,000 or higher—was incorrect.

The market's reported result identifies the below-$419,000 outcome as Yes. The exact underlying Parcl dollar figure has not been independently verified for this update and is not stated as a known amount.

Here, “home value” refers to the market-specific calculation defined in the original rules…

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Will BTS Win Song of the Year at the 2026 VMAs? Horary Case File #003 

Outcome Update — BTS Won Song of the Year

RESULT: BTS won Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards for “Swim.” My original NO prediction was incorrect.

The official 2026 VMA winners release from Paramount lists BTS — “Swim” as the winner of Song of the Year. The result can be verified in the official 2026 MTV Video Music Awards winners release.

The original prospective judgment is preserved below. I have not rewritten the prediction, confidence level, house assignments or pre-event reasoning to fit…

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